Monday, February 10, 2020

3.3 Addition and Multiplication Rules, Risk Analysis

Comic of the Day
Tip: Always make the best of a baaaad situation

Warmup
Monty Hall Problem
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhlc7peGlGg

Is it better to swap doors, keep the same door or does it matter

Hint: Draw a sample space, where the first event is your initial guess (car, goat or goat) and the second event is whether you swap or stay (win or lose).

Don't believe me?  Check out the empirical probability:
http://www.stayorswitch.com/

Still don't believe me?  Read this:


Announcements & Deadlines
Production Assignment 2 instructions and groups will be sent out this week (due Sun Mar 8)
Data Analysis Exam #1 in class Thu Feb 13
- Excel keys for Labs 0-4 are available on Moodle
Lab 4 Mobius questions due Fri Feb 14
Drop-in tutorials will run every Tue 12-12:50 in CAT286 (computer lab)

Today - 3.3 Addition and Multiplication Rules
Notes on Moodle

Next Lecture - 3.4-3.5 Complements, Probability in Sampling
Pre-read notes on Moodle

Unit 1 Exam
µ=58.1%
σ=18.4%
median=60%
70.0% within ±1σ


If you want to ask about the marking of your exam I would be happy to discuss with you, but please wait 24 hours before emailing or asking me.  Take this time to review the answer key, lecture notes, assignments and sample exam from last year.  You can review your Chapter 1 and 2 Mobius assignments using the Mobius Gradebook link at the top of Moodle.

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